Decent Football Picks, Week 11

I’m just going to make one final point about last weekend’s debacle in Indy before we move on to bigger and better things with the Pats in 2009: If Charlie Weis was on the Pats sideline, they might have won.

Here me out. First, full disclosure: I am a big Notre Dame fan and think Weis is the man. I also sweat Belichick. The two of them together are an unbeatable team.

Now that that’s out of the way, here’s why Weis may have won the game for the Pats: He would have challenged Belichick’s decision to go for it. I’m willing to bet my life savings that when Belichick decided to go for it, not one coach or person with a headset on the Pats sideline every questioned it. Not any of the 30-year-old up-and-coming offensive assistants that we’ll be hearing about in the years to come (like offensive coordinator/QB coach Bill O’Brien) or defensive veteran coaches (Dean Pees, Pepper Johnson) probably said one word but “If you say so, Bill.”

Not that the decision was wrong, I personally agree with the call 100 percent, but any good leader should get challenged by his peers. Just the different opinions and vantage points can make a difference, and right now, the Pats lack some of that. It really is all Belichick, and only Belichick. He’s surrounded with “Yes” men.

I’ll never forget Josh McDaniels yelling at Belichick before halftime of the San Diego game last year. McDaniels had the stones to challenge the guru, and look where he is now. Weis has the respect of Belichick and the stones to call him out on it. Would Bill have given it second thoughts, punted, and held on for the victory if Weis was around and had said, “Bill, punt the f’ing ball.” The Pats might find out of Weis gets canned from Notre Dame, because he’s headed right back to Foxboro.

I won the picks last week (9-6), being the only one to choose San Francisco and Carolina, but I’m still in last place with a pathetic 66-76 record. Helmet (7-8 last week, 79-63 overall) still holds an edge over Capt. Tubesteak (8-7 last week, 71-71 overall) in the overall running to have a threesum with the other two’s ladies.

Anyway, here are the lines on this weekend’s games: Miami (+3) at Carolina, Cleveland (+3½) at Detroit, Buffalo (+8½) at Jacksonville, Pittsburgh (-10) at Kansas City, Peyton Manning (pick) at Baltimore, Atlanta (+6½) at New York Giants, San Francisco (+6½) at Green Bay, Seattle (+11) at Minnesota, Washington (+11) at Dallas, New Orleans (-11½) at Tampa Bay, Arizona (-9) at St. Louis, New York Jets (+10) at New England, Cincy (-9½) at Oakland, San Diego (-3) at Denver, Philly (-3) at Chicago and Tennessee (+4½) at Houston.

Helmet Head’s picks: Carolina, Detroit, Jacksonville, Pittsburgh, Peyton Manning, Atlanta, San Francisco, Seattle, Washington, New Orleans, Arizona, Cincy, San Diego, Philly, Houston and New England.

Tubesteak: Miami, Detroit, Jacksonville, Pittsburgh, Peyton Manning, Atlanta, Green Bay, Minnesota, Dallas, Tampa Bay, Arizona, New England, Cincy, San Diego, Philly and Houston

Fugaze: Miami, Cleveland, Buffalo, Pittsburgh, Ravens, Giants, 49ers, Minnesota, Washington, New Orleans, Arizona, New England, Cincy, Denver, Philly and Houston.

So how do we, and my copy of Madden 10, think the Pats will make out this weekend?

Madden 10 (Pats 29, Jets 28): Stephen Gostkowski nails a field goal with 17 seconds left to lift the Pats to a victory. Glad he made it; he had missed two earlier in a 3-for-5 kicking effort. Brady threw for a classic video-game number of 450 passing yards.

Helmet Head (Pats 47, Jets 3): “Dude, seriously?  Not sure I can even give a recap. Pats are irate, the Jets a) suck and b) are extremely unlucky to be playing the Pats after that horseshit game. F’it.”

Tubesteak (Pats 52, Jets 6): “Just found out the world is supposed to end on December 21, 2012. I wish I had known earlier. Looks like it’s finally time to try growing a beard. I think I’ll also start smoking more cigarettes, eating more stew and kissing more babes. And one more thing: How the hell did we lose to the Jets earlier this season?”

Fugaze (Pats 114, Jets 3): There are two big reasons why I should pick the Jets this weekend: They have a great defense and they beat the Pats earlier in the season, but there’s one big reason why the Pats will kick ass: Belichick is pissed. The Jets are going to get a full dose of a pissed off guru at Foxboro this weekend. Remember when Spygate broke and everyone was talking about how Belichick was a cheater? “If you ain’t cheating, you ain’t trying,” is what LaDanian Tomlinson said the week before traveling to Foxboro. Pats dominated that game, 38-14. Never play the Pats when Belichick is irate. Never. NEVER.


One Response

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